Diagnóstico criminológico de los homicidios intencionales registrados en el distrito metropolitano de Quito (2024-2025): un análisis a partir de las teoría de las ventanas rotas

Abstract

This study analyzed intentional homicides recorded in the Metropolitan District of Quito during the 2024–2025 period, with the aim of identifying their main criminological characteristics and understanding their behavior through the lens of the broken windows theory. The research followed a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative analysis of statistical data obtained from official sources, such as the Ecuadorian National Police database (Sistema David), with qualitative analysis based on the review of information related to the recorded incidents. The results showed that homicides are concentrated in specific areas of the city and during particular time periods, mainly at night and on weekends. In addition, a predominant use of firearms and variations in victim profiles were identified. Based on the application of the broken windows theory, it was determined that violence does not occur randomly, but is linked to contexts of social disorder and limited territorial control. In this sense, the study provided a criminological diagnosis aimed at understanding the dynamics of the phenomenon and contributing to crime analysis and prevention strategies.